I wouldn't trust any of them.....
Brown can't turn round now and admit, yes, we are in the shit, and lose a lot of face. I think we would of been in recession one way or another, but the two past governments have shipped off, sold off, and allowed the complete erosion of our manufacturing industry, so we are wholly reliant on imports to sustain our 'financial spending', where as France subsidise their industry, so they make a lot of their own stuff, same as Germany, and they are being hit far less than we are.
One good thing about this though, makes watching Question Time a right hoot!!